CIFR stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
Cipher Digital Inc is focused on high-performance computing (HPC) data center development and operations... Show more
Why Cipher Mining (CIFR) Stock Is Down -21.5% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- CIFR shares fell about 21.5% over the last 30 days, dropping from a $20.42 close on July 28 to $16.02 as of the latest session.
- A disappointing Q2 2026 report on August 4 was the primary catalyst: revenue of $24.84 million and a net loss of $0.65 per share both missed consensus estimates.
- The company is pivoting from Bitcoin mining toward high-performance computing (HPC) data centers, an expensive transition that has weighed on near-term earnings.
- Rising Treasury yields and broad AI-infrastructure selling compounded the decline, even as analysts kept a "Moderate Buy" consensus with an average target near $28.61.
- The stock remains down roughly 36% over the trailing quarter, reflecting a sharper retreat from June highs near $30.
Cipher Mining (CIFR) Company Overview and Market Position
Cipher Mining Inc. (NASDAQ: CIFR) is a U.S.-based digital infrastructure company best known historically as a Bitcoin miner, operating its flagship mining facility in Odessa, Texas. In February 2026 the company rebranded to Cipher Digital, signaling a strategic shift away from crypto mining toward developing and operating industrial-scale data centers for high-performance computing (HPC) and artificial intelligence workloads.
The company now positions itself as an infrastructure partner to hyperscale tenants, holding a portfolio of approximately 5.3 gigawatts across 11 sites. Its pipeline includes contracted HPC projects at its Barber Lake, Black Pearl, and Stingray campuses, alongside roughly 4.4 gigawatts of expected future development. Investors follow CIFR closely because it sits at the intersection of two high-visibility themes: Bitcoin and the AI data-center buildout.
Cipher Mining (CIFR) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the trailing 30 days, CIFR declined approximately 21.5%, from a closing price of $20.42 on July 28 to $16.02 in the latest session. The move was not linear: shares briefly rebounded above $24 in early August before a steady slide into the mid-$16 range.
The quarterly picture is steeper. From a late-May level near $25, the stock has fallen roughly 36%, and it now trades well below the 52-week high of $30.14 reached in mid-June. The 52-week low of $4.67 underscores both the stock's volatility and how far it climbed during the earlier AI-driven rally before the recent pullback.
What Drove CIFR Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
The single largest catalyst was the second-quarter earnings report released August 4. Revenue came in at $24.84 million, entirely from Bitcoin mining and down 43% year over year, missing the roughly $32 million analysts had projected. The net loss widened to about $267.5 million, or $0.65 per share, versus expectations of a much smaller loss. A sizable portion of that loss — about $150.5 million — was a non-cash charge tied to warrant fair-value remeasurement, but the headline miss still triggered a sharp one-day sell-off of roughly 16%.
The report also highlighted the cost of the company's transition. Bitcoin mining revenue declined sequentially as Cipher decommissioned mining capacity at Black Pearl to make way for contracted data-center revenue, which has yet to materially ramp. On the positive side, management announced that initial HPC capacity at Black Pearl was delivered in early August, two months ahead of schedule, with rent commencing from an investment-grade hyperscale tenant.
Macro forces compounded the weakness. The 10-year Treasury yield climbed toward 4.7%, near the top of its 52-week range, raising the discount rate applied to long-duration data-center projects and pressuring the broader AI-miner cohort, including peers such as TeraWulf (WULF) and MARA Holdings (MARA). Rising borrowing costs matter acutely for CIFR because its returns are back-loaded toward lease revenue expected in 2027 and 2028.
What Drove CIFR Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The three-month trend reflects a broader rotation out of capital-intensive AI-infrastructure names. After peaking near $30 in June, CIFR gave back much of its year-to-date advance as investors reassessed how quickly the HPC transition would convert contracted capacity into recurring cash flow.
During the quarter, Cipher completed an $810 million project-level financing for its Stingray campus and disclosed an option on a new 900-megawatt "Apollo" site near San Antonio, Texas. Yet uncertainty also mounted: Texas regulators paused the ERCOT "Batch Zero" transmission study following a directive to review data-center projects, adding questions around the timing of the company's larger development pipeline. Meanwhile, insiders sold more than $80 million in stock over a 90-day period, and several firms trimmed price targets, though others — including JPMorgan, which upgraded the stock to Overweight in August — framed the pullback as an entry point.
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CIFR Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
Looking ahead, the key milestones are operational rather than purely crypto-driven. Investors should monitor rent commencement at Barber Lake, expected in October, and the pace of remaining Black Pearl Phase 1 and Phase 2 construction. Continued progress — or delays — at Stingray and the Apollo site will shape sentiment around the broader 4.4-gigawatt pipeline.
Macro factors remain equally important. Sustained high Treasury yields, the trajectory of Bitcoin prices, and any changes to ERCOT's data-center approval process could all influence the stock. On the analyst side, consensus stands at "Moderate Buy" with an average target near $28.61, but estimates have been moving lower — Northland Securities, for example, cut its Q3 loss forecast — reflecting uncertainty about the timing of HPC revenue recognition. Near-term earnings are expected to remain under pressure until contracted data-center cash flow scales in 2027 and 2028.
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CIFR's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CIFR turned positive on September 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where CIFR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 49 of 55 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a +6.56% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CIFR advanced for three days, in 237 of 267 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 56 of 58 cases where CIFR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 10, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CIFR as a result. In 76 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CIFR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
CIFR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for CIFR entered a downward trend on September 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CIFR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CIFR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 79 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.765) is normal, around the industry mean (7.357). P/E Ratio (78.820) is within average values for comparable stocks, (71.314). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.380). CIFR has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.026). P/S Ratio (33.445) is also within normal values, averaging (147.749).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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